5 Tips For Exiting Trades
By Dead Cat Bounce - 05-Dec-2024
Exiting a trade is just as important – if not more so – than entering one.
While many traders spend time perfecting their entry points, professionals understand that a well-timed exit is where the real alpha lies. A smart exit strategy can be the difference between a modest profit and a significant gain; or between a manageable loss and a blown-up account. By knowing exactly when and how to exit a trade before entering, every trader sets themself up for better risk management, more consistent results, and long-term profitability. Sharing some tips for understanding these basics of position management is the purpose of writing this article.
But First: Have A Consistent Trading Plan
Before talking about exit strategies, it’s important to highlight the importance of consistency for any trading plan. Every trader’s positions have to be clearly defined. Whether they are swing positions, scalps, day-trades, etc., understanding what type of trade is being put on is essential. If a trader enters a weekly swing long, for example, losing a moving average on a 1h time frame is not that significant. But for another shorter-term trade it definitely could be. Having targets and invalidations on a defined timeframe and acceptable risk is absolutely critical.
With that said, here are five tips for planning and executing exits for open trades.
Set Profit Targets With Technical Analysis
The simplest way to set targets is by relying on support and resistance levels. Traders should be buying support and selling at resistance.
Other common indicators like Fibonacci retracements, moving averages or pivot points can help identify areas where prices may reverse, giving you a good spot to take profits. But the important thing here is that traders are looking for price action confluence. By combining multiple technical signals, any trader can create a more reliable exit strategy. For example, a Fibonacci extension at the 1.618 level combined with a key resistance zone or an HTF moving average can offer a highly accurate profit target.
Always use indicators that suit individual trading styles the most, and find where reversal points happen on whatever timeframe a trader uses.
Monitor Real-Time Market Data
When planning when to exit a position, many traders overlook the impact of real-time data like open interest, funding rates, and cumulative volume delta (CVD) in their exit strategies. For example, if someone is in a profitable long position and sees that funding rates are extremely high, it might be a signal that market sentiment is overly bullish and due for a correction.
Similarly, a sharp change in open interest can indicate that a significant number of traders are exiting or entering the market, which may precede a price reversal. Mixing that with CVD, moreover, which shows whether buying or selling pressure is fading or increasing, gives the trader a good overview of the state of the market
Again, this data works best when mixed with other information that can be extracted from the chart or a trade. Bearish data approaching a key resistance level and bullish data at key supports are always good indications of price reversals and a good spot to exit trades.
Use A Trailing Stop Loss To Lock in Gains
A trailing stop loss is a dynamic stop loss that moves with the market.
Instead of exiting a trade at a fixed price level, trailing stop loss adjusts to the price movement, allowing you to stay in the trade as long as the trend continues. If a trader sets a trailing stop loss 10% below the highest price achieved during their trade, the stop loss will move up with the price, but will never move back down.
So, if the price falls by 10% from its peak, the trade will automatically close, and profits are secured. In case it isn’t obvious, this strategy helps lock in gains without having to constantly monitor the trade. It’s particularly useful in strong trending markets where the price may continue to rise after reaching an initial profit target.
Exit When The Setup Invalidates
By being disciplined and exiting when the setup no longer holds, traders can cut losses early or secure partial profits before the market moves against them. That’s why it is important to always have a plan for what conditions will invalidate a trade.
Trade setups are often based on certain technical conditions or market structure. If those conditions change, it may be time to exit the trade, even if a profit target hasn’t been reached. This dynamic is often referred to as invalidating a trade thesis.
For example, if a trader is in a long position and the price breaks below a key support level or a trend line that they were using as a guide, the trade conditions change. Staying in a trade after a setup is invalidated takes the objectivity out of a trading system and exponentially increases the risk of significant losses.
Scale Out At Multiple Targets
Rather than aiming to exit your entire position at one profit target and hoping that was truly the turning point, you can scale out in stages. By gradually exiting at predefined levels, you manage risk better and can stay in the trade to take advantage of extended moves. For instance, you could close 50% of your position at your first profit target and let the remaining 50% run, adjusting your stop loss accordingly.
This approach allows you to lock in profits while maintaining exposure in case the market continues to move in your favor. Additionally, it removes the psychological pressure of trying to predict the “perfect” exit, which can lead to hesitation or indecision.
Bonus: Monitor Market Sentiment To Time An Exit
When sentiment becomes excessively optimistic (a.k.a., bullish) or pessimistic (a.k.a., bearish), it often signals a potential reversal or correction. Markets tend to overshoot in both directions, and extreme sentiment can push prices to unsustainable levels, setting the stage for a reversal.
As the famous adage says, “Buy when there is blood in the streets.”
But the same principle is true in the inverse. Sell when an Uber driver is talking about his memecoin investments. Tracking sentiment online can be done with general indicators like social media sentiment trackers, many different Fear & Greed Indexes, or even Google Trends.
Conclusion
Even when exiting a trade, emotion is one of the biggest challenges traders face. Fear can cause anyone to exit a trade too early, while greed might keep them in a trade longer than they should be. The solution is simple: having a predefined exit plan can help manage these emotional impulses.
Remember an exit plan isn’t just about locking in profits , it’s about protecting capital and riding trends without getting caught in reversals. Whether a trader is taking advantage of technical indicators, market sentiment, or volatility, having a clear and adaptable exit strategy is key to long-term success.